FutureBench evaluates AI agents on predicting future events using DeepSeek-V3, Firecrawl, Tavily, and Polymarket

AI Impact Summary

FutureBench proposes evaluating AI agents on their ability to forecast real-world events, using DeepSeek-V3 for reasoning, Firecrawl for scraping, and Tavily for search, with Polymarket as a live prediction source. The approach yields contamination-resistant, verifiable outcomes tied to actual futures, and introduces a three-level evaluation framework (framework, tool, and model comparisons). Enterprises should plan end-to-end pipelines that ingest live sources and support cross-tool reasoning to quantify real-world decision quality.